BOOK. COMPUTER SEARCH FOR BALANCED DECISIONS: Feasible Goals Method (in Russian)

COMPUTER SEARCH FOR BALANCED DECISIONS: Feasible Goals Method (in Russian)

A.V.Lotov, V.A.Bushenkov, G.K.Kamenev, and O.L.Chernykh

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Here you can download the book (in Russian) chapter by chapter using the related buttons.

0. INTRODUCTION. The problems of application of new computer technologies for decision and negotiation support are discussed. The opportunities provided by computer networks are considered and the potential role of the Feasible Goals Method (FGM) in the framework of them is outlined.

CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION INTO THE FEASIBLE GOALS METHOD. The method is introduced on the basis of several simple models. Then, an example model of regional environmentally sound economic development is explored by the FGM.

CHAPTER 2. BALANCED ENVIRONMENTAL STRATEGIES. Examples of the application of the FGM method in environmental topics are given. The following problems and software systems are discussed:

hypothetical problem of sea dumping of sluges in the Lower bight of the New York City,
problem of agricultural development of a small region in the Netherlands taking the water quality and the water quantity problems into account,
decision support system for environmental engineers developing the water quality plans for Russian rivers,
negotiation support system for development of international strategies for atmosphere pollution abatement (exemplified by the case of Finland, Russia and Estonia),
demo version of computer support for developing smart response strategies to global environmental problems (exemplified by the greenhouse effect).

CHAPTER 3. VISUALIZATION OF EFFICIENT GOALS IN ECONOMIC TOPICS. Application of the FGM technique for exploration of various economic models is considered:

development of strategies for long-time growth of a national economy taking social and environmental issues into account (on the basis of an aggregated model of economic growth),
development of feasible national economic-social goals and strategies for a medium time period (on the basis of a dynamic input-output model),
development of strategies of international trade (on the basis of a static input-output model of the world trade),
development of strategies of short-time regulation of a market economy (on the basis of an econometric model),
development of strategies of economic reform in Russia (on the basis of a structured macro-economic model).

CHAPTER 4. METHODOLOGICAL PROBLEMS OF THE FGM. The chapter consists of seven sections in which the following topics are discussed:

Interactive and Animated Decision Maps as well as their combination with the multimedia, virtual reality, geographical information systems and other new computer technologies,
psychology of decision making, mental models and their modification,
developing the technical projects with the FGM: supersonic aircraft example,
FGM-based methodology for integrated assessment of environmental problems,
application of the FGM technique in negotiation processes,
identification of systems with the FGM technique,
application of the FGM in computer networks.

CHAPTER 5. MATHEMATICAL BASIS OF THE FGM TECHNIQUE. Mathematical topics related to the computer implementation of the FGM technique are discussed in short. This section was included into the non-mathematical book to provide software engineers with the understanding of opportunities and limitations of the FGM technique. The FGM technique is based on algorithms for numerical approximating the feasible goals set and on algorithms for displaying the Interactive and Animated Decision Maps. Algorithms are described in a simplified form. The chapter includes the following sections:

algorithms based on the convolution of liner inequalities due to Fourier,
algorithms based on the approximating of convex bodies by polytops,
algorithms based on the essential covering of non-convex sets by systems of simple figures,
algorithms for approximating the Edgeworth-Pareto Hulls,
algorithms for displaying the decision maps,
algorithms of the FGM technique in the case of dynamic systems.

CONCLUSION. THE FGM TECHNIQUE AT THE BEGINNING OF THE 21st CENTURY. Here, the future active tools of electronic mass media for independent development of public strategies are outlined.

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